Tuesday 18 December 2018, 21:30
Merkur Spielarena
Full time
16%
19%
66%
Home win
15.6%
Draw
18.5%
Away win
65.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | 15.6% | 6.40 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.5% | 5.40 | — | — |
| Borussia Dortmund | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.0% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.0% | 32.98 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 88.4% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 11.6% | 8.64 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 29.3% | 3.41 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 30.4% | 3.29 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
| No | 36.4% | 2.74 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf / Draw | 34.2% | 2.93 | — | — |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf / Borussia Dortmund | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Draw / Borussia Dortmund | 84.4% | 1.19 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.0
|
6.0
|
8.0
|
6.7
|
4.1
|
2.1
|
| 1 |
2.6
|
7.9
|
9.3
|
7.8
|
4.8
|
2.4
|
| 2 |
1.8
|
4.4
|
5.4
|
4.5
|
2.8
|
1.4
|
| 3 |
0.7
|
1.7
|
2.1
|
1.8
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.5
|
0.6
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jun 2020
Fortuna Dusseldorf
0-1
Borussia Dortmund
Dec 2019
Borussia Dortmund
5-0
Fortuna Dusseldorf
May 2019
Borussia Dortmund
3-2
Fortuna Dusseldorf
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.