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Saturday 10 November 2018, 19:30 Signal Iduna Park Full time
32% 23% 45%
Home win
31.7%
Draw
23.4%
Away win
44.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Dortmund 31.7% 3.15
Draw 23.4% 4.27
Bayern München 44.9% 2.23

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.2% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.8% 26.05
Over 1.5 86.1% 1.16
Under 1.5 13.9% 7.20
Over 2.5 66.4% 1.51
Under 2.5 33.6% 2.98
Over 3.5 44.6% 2.24
Under 3.5 55.4% 1.81
Over 4.5 26.0% 3.85
Under 4.5 74.0% 1.35

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 67.2% 1.49
No 32.8% 3.05

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Dortmund / Draw 55.2% 1.81
Borussia Dortmund / Bayern München 76.6% 1.31
Draw / Bayern München 68.3% 1.46

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.8
5.5
5.7
3.6
1.7
0.6
1
4.5
10.1
8.9
5.5
2.6
1.0
2
3.9
7.4
6.9
4.3
2.0
0.7
3
2.0
3.8
3.6
2.2
1.0
0.4
4
0.8
1.5
1.4
0.9
0.4
0.2
5
0.2
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Borussia Dortmund goals. Columns: Bayern München goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.