Saturday 3 November 2018, 16:30
Volkswagen Arena
Full time
25%
24%
51%
Home win
25.0%
Draw
24.0%
Away win
51.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfL Wolfsburg | 25.0% | 4.00 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.0% | 4.17 | — | — |
| Borussia Dortmund | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.9% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.1% | 19.43 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.9% | 5.59 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 40.2% | 2.49 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 37.4% | 2.67 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.1% | 4.97 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| No | 39.4% | 2.54 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfL Wolfsburg / Draw | 48.9% | 2.04 | — | — |
| VfL Wolfsburg / Borussia Dortmund | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Borussia Dortmund | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.1
|
7.8
|
7.8
|
4.8
|
2.2
|
0.8
|
| 1 |
5.0
|
11.0
|
9.7
|
6.0
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
| 2 |
3.5
|
6.5
|
6.0
|
3.7
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
| 3 |
1.4
|
2.7
|
2.5
|
1.5
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.8
|
0.8
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
VfL Wolfsburg
1-2
Borussia Dortmund
Sep 2025
Borussia Dortmund
1-0
VfL Wolfsburg
May 2025
Borussia Dortmund
4-0
VfL Wolfsburg
Dec 2024
VfL Wolfsburg
1-3
Borussia Dortmund
Feb 2024
VfL Wolfsburg
1-1
Borussia Dortmund
Sep 2023
Borussia Dortmund
1-0
VfL Wolfsburg
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.