Wednesday 26 September 2018, 21:30
Opel Arena
Full time
46%
28%
26%
Home win
45.8%
Draw
28.2%
Away win
26.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 | 45.8% | 2.18 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.2% | 3.54 | — | — |
| VfL Wolfsburg | 26.0% | 3.85 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.4% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.6% | 10.46 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 29.4% | 3.40 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 43.8% | 2.28 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 22.8% | 4.39 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 77.2% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.0% | 10.03 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.0% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.9% | 2.04 | — | — |
| No | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 / Draw | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| FSV Mainz 05 / VfL Wolfsburg | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / VfL Wolfsburg | 54.2% | 1.84 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.6
|
8.1
|
4.5
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.8
|
13.4
|
6.4
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.9
|
9.0
|
4.5
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.2
|
4.3
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.5
|
1.5
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
FSV Mainz 05
3-1
VfL Wolfsburg
Aug 2025
VfL Wolfsburg
1-1
FSV Mainz 05
Apr 2025
FSV Mainz 05
2-2
VfL Wolfsburg
Dec 2024
VfL Wolfsburg
4-3
FSV Mainz 05
May 2024
VfL Wolfsburg
1-3
FSV Mainz 05
Jan 2024
FSV Mainz 05
1-1
VfL Wolfsburg
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.