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Saturday 22 September 2018, 16:30 Volkswagen Arena Full time
51% 27% 22%
Home win
51.1%
Draw
27.0%
Away win
21.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfL Wolfsburg 51.1% 1.96
Draw 27.0% 3.70
SC Freiburg 21.9% 4.56

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.9% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.1% 11.00
Over 1.5 71.6% 1.40
Under 1.5 28.4% 3.52
Over 2.5 45.1% 2.22
Under 2.5 54.9% 1.82
Over 3.5 23.8% 4.19
Under 3.5 76.2% 1.31
Over 4.5 10.6% 9.40
Under 4.5 89.4% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.4% 2.06
No 51.6% 1.94

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfL Wolfsburg / Draw 78.1% 1.28
VfL Wolfsburg / SC Freiburg 73.0% 1.37
Draw / SC Freiburg 48.9% 2.04

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.1
7.1
3.6
1.1
0.3
0.0
1
12.2
12.8
5.6
1.7
0.4
0.1
2
10.1
9.4
4.4
1.4
0.3
0.1
3
5.2
4.8
2.3
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
2.0
1.9
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.6
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: VfL Wolfsburg goals. Columns: SC Freiburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.