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Friday 5 October 2018, 21:30 Weser-Stadion Full time
54% 25% 20%
Home win
54.3%
Draw
25.2%
Away win
20.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Werder Bremen 54.3% 1.84
Draw 25.2% 3.96
VfL Wolfsburg 20.4% 4.89

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.4% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.6% 13.21
Over 1.5 75.4% 1.33
Under 1.5 24.6% 4.06
Over 2.5 50.0% 2.00
Under 2.5 50.0% 2.00
Over 3.5 28.1% 3.56
Under 3.5 71.9% 1.39
Over 4.5 13.3% 7.49
Under 4.5 86.7% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.4% 1.95
No 48.6% 2.06

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Werder Bremen / Draw 79.6% 1.26
Werder Bremen / VfL Wolfsburg 74.8% 1.34
Draw / VfL Wolfsburg 45.7% 2.19

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.6
5.9
3.2
1.0
0.2
0.0
1
11.1
12.0
5.5
1.8
0.4
0.1
2
10.1
9.7
4.7
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
5.8
5.6
2.7
0.9
0.2
0.0
4
2.5
2.4
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.8
0.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Werder Bremen goals. Columns: VfL Wolfsburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.