Saturday 27 October 2018, 16:30
Merkur Spielarena
Full time
30%
28%
42%
Home win
29.9%
Draw
28.0%
Away win
42.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | 29.9% | 3.34 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.0% | 3.58 | — | — |
| VfL Wolfsburg | 42.1% | 2.38 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.4% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.6% | 11.65 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 27.0% | 3.70 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 46.8% | 2.14 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 25.3% | 3.96 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.5% | 8.68 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.5% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
| No | 47.9% | 2.09 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf / Draw | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf / VfL Wolfsburg | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / VfL Wolfsburg | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.6
|
10.2
|
7.7
|
3.6
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
8.2
|
13.3
|
8.8
|
4.1
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
5.1
|
7.2
|
5.0
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
2.0
|
2.7
|
1.9
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
0.8
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2020
VfL Wolfsburg
1-1
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Sep 2019
Fortuna Dusseldorf
1-1
VfL Wolfsburg
Mar 2019
VfL Wolfsburg
5-2
Fortuna Dusseldorf
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.