Friday 19 October 2018, 21:30
Commerzbank-Arena
Full time
57%
26%
17%
Home win
56.7%
Draw
26.2%
Away win
17.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.2% | 3.82 | — | — |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | 17.1% | 5.85 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.0% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.0% | 10.04 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.6% | 3.26 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 42.5% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.7% | 4.61 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.3% | 10.73 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.7% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 43.6% | 2.29 | — | — |
| No | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt / Draw | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Eintracht Frankfurt / Fortuna Dusseldorf | 73.8% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Fortuna Dusseldorf | 43.3% | 2.31 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.0
|
6.4
|
2.7
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.2
|
12.2
|
4.4
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.0
|
9.2
|
3.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.4
|
5.0
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.6
|
2.0
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2020
Fortuna Dusseldorf
1-1
Eintracht Frankfurt
Sep 2019
Eintracht Frankfurt
2-1
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Mar 2019
Fortuna Dusseldorf
0-3
Eintracht Frankfurt
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.