Saturday 29 September 2018, 16:30
Max-Morlock-Stadion
Full time
33%
30%
37%
Home win
32.9%
Draw
30.0%
Away win
37.0%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Nurnberg | 32.9% | 3.04 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.0% | 3.33 | — | — |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | 37.0% | 2.70 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.0% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.0% | 9.10 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 32.7% | 3.06 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 40.0% | 2.50 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.7% | 5.07 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 80.3% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.2% | 12.21 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.8% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.1% | 2.12 | — | — |
| No | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Nurnberg / Draw | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
| FC Nurnberg / Fortuna Dusseldorf | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / Fortuna Dusseldorf | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.0
|
11.3
|
7.1
|
2.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
10.4
|
14.1
|
7.9
|
3.1
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
6.2
|
7.3
|
4.3
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.3
|
2.7
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.