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Saturday 22 September 2018, 16:30 Max-Morlock-Stadion Full time
43% 30% 27%
Home win
43.2%
Draw
29.6%
Away win
27.1%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FC Nurnberg 43.2% 2.31
Draw 29.6% 3.37
Hannover 96 27.1% 3.69

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.9% 1.12
Under 0.5 11.1% 9.02
Over 1.5 67.1% 1.49
Under 1.5 32.9% 3.04
Over 2.5 39.7% 2.52
Under 2.5 60.3% 1.66
Over 3.5 19.5% 5.13
Under 3.5 80.5% 1.24
Over 4.5 8.1% 12.41
Under 4.5 91.9% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.0% 2.17
No 54.0% 1.85

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FC Nurnberg / Draw 72.9% 1.37
FC Nurnberg / Hannover 96 70.4% 1.42
Draw / Hannover 96 56.8% 1.76

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.1
9.3
4.9
1.6
0.4
0.1
1
12.6
13.8
6.3
2.1
0.5
0.1
2
8.7
8.5
4.1
1.3
0.3
0.1
3
3.8
3.7
1.8
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
1.2
1.2
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: FC Nurnberg goals. Columns: Hannover 96 goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.