Saturday 6 October 2018, 16:30
Merkur Spielarena
Full time
30%
31%
39%
Home win
30.4%
Draw
30.8%
Away win
38.8%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | 30.4% | 3.29 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.8% | 3.25 | — | — |
| FC Schalke 04 | 38.8% | 2.58 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.8% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.2% | 8.22 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 35.3% | 2.83 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 37.1% | 2.70 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 17.6% | 5.69 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 82.4% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.0% | 14.33 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.0% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.5% | 2.25 | — | — |
| No | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf / Draw | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf / FC Schalke 04 | 69.2% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Draw / FC Schalke 04 | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.2
|
12.5
|
7.8
|
3.0
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
10.6
|
14.2
|
7.8
|
3.1
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
5.7
|
6.7
|
3.9
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
1.9
|
2.2
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2020
Fortuna Dusseldorf
2-1
FC Schalke 04
Nov 2019
FC Schalke 04
3-3
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Mar 2019
FC Schalke 04
0-4
Fortuna Dusseldorf
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.