Saturday 29 September 2018, 16:30
VELTINS-Arena
Full time
55%
27%
19%
Home win
54.6%
Draw
26.6%
Away win
18.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.6% | 3.76 | — | — |
| FSV Mainz 05 | 18.8% | 5.33 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.3% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.7% | 10.26 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.1% | 3.33 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 43.1% | 2.32 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 22.2% | 4.51 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.6% | 10.39 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.4% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.2% | 2.21 | — | — |
| No | 54.8% | 1.83 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 / Draw | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
| FC Schalke 04 / FSV Mainz 05 | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / FSV Mainz 05 | 45.4% | 2.20 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.7
|
6.7
|
3.1
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.6
|
12.5
|
4.8
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.3
|
9.3
|
3.8
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.0
|
4.9
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.4
|
1.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.7
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2023
FSV Mainz 05
2-3
FC Schalke 04
Nov 2022
FC Schalke 04
1-0
FSV Mainz 05
Mar 2021
FC Schalke 04
0-0
FSV Mainz 05
Nov 2020
FSV Mainz 05
2-2
FC Schalke 04
Feb 2020
FSV Mainz 05
0-0
FC Schalke 04
Sep 2019
FC Schalke 04
2-1
FSV Mainz 05
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.