Saturday 27 October 2018, 16:30
Signal Iduna Park
Full time
65%
20%
15%
Home win
64.8%
Draw
19.9%
Away win
15.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.9% | 5.02 | — | — |
| Hertha Berlin | 15.2% | 6.56 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.7% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.3% | 23.42 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.5% | 6.43 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 36.3% | 2.76 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 41.6% | 2.40 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 23.4% | 4.27 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| No | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund / Draw | 84.8% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Borussia Dortmund / Hertha Berlin | 80.1% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Draw / Hertha Berlin | 35.2% | 2.84 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.3
|
3.3
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
8.0
|
9.2
|
4.4
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.6
|
9.8
|
5.0
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.2
|
7.4
|
3.8
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
4.1
|
4.2
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.9
|
1.9
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2023
Borussia Dortmund
4-1
Hertha Berlin
Aug 2022
Hertha Berlin
0-1
Borussia Dortmund
May 2022
Borussia Dortmund
2-1
Hertha Berlin
Dec 2021
Hertha Berlin
3-2
Borussia Dortmund
Mar 2021
Borussia Dortmund
2-0
Hertha Berlin
Nov 2020
Hertha Berlin
2-5
Borussia Dortmund
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.