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Sunday 21 October 2018, 16:30 Olympiastadion Full time
58% 24% 18%
Home win
58.0%
Draw
24.1%
Away win
17.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hertha Berlin 58.0% 1.72
Draw 24.1% 4.14
SC Freiburg 17.8% 5.61

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.7% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.3% 13.70
Over 1.5 76.0% 1.32
Under 1.5 24.0% 4.16
Over 2.5 50.9% 1.96
Under 2.5 49.1% 2.04
Over 3.5 28.8% 3.47
Under 3.5 71.2% 1.41
Over 4.5 13.9% 7.21
Under 4.5 86.1% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.4% 1.98
No 49.6% 2.02

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hertha Berlin / Draw 82.2% 1.22
Hertha Berlin / SC Freiburg 75.9% 1.32
Draw / SC Freiburg 42.0% 2.38

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.3
5.4
2.7
0.8
0.2
0.0
1
11.4
11.5
4.9
1.5
0.3
0.1
2
10.9
9.8
4.4
1.3
0.3
0.1
3
6.5
5.9
2.7
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
3.0
2.7
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
1.1
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Hertha Berlin goals. Columns: SC Freiburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.