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Sunday 7 October 2018, 14:30 Schwarzwald-Stadion Full time
33% 25% 42%
Home win
32.9%
Draw
25.5%
Away win
41.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SC Freiburg 32.9% 3.04
Draw 25.5% 3.93
Bayer Leverkusen 41.7% 2.40

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.4% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.6% 17.88
Over 1.5 80.9% 1.24
Under 1.5 19.1% 5.24
Over 2.5 57.9% 1.73
Under 2.5 42.1% 2.38
Over 3.5 35.5% 2.82
Under 3.5 64.5% 1.55
Over 4.5 18.7% 5.36
Under 4.5 81.3% 1.23

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 61.0% 1.64
No 39.0% 2.56

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SC Freiburg / Draw 58.3% 1.71
SC Freiburg / Bayer Leverkusen 74.5% 1.34
Draw / Bayer Leverkusen 67.1% 1.49

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.6
7.2
6.3
3.4
1.4
0.4
1
6.3
11.8
8.9
4.8
1.9
0.6
2
4.9
7.8
6.3
3.4
1.3
0.4
3
2.3
3.7
2.9
1.6
0.6
0.2
4
0.8
1.3
1.0
0.6
0.2
0.1
5
0.2
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: SC Freiburg goals. Columns: Bayer Leverkusen goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.