Saturday 6 October 2018, 16:30
Opel Arena
Full time
38%
29%
33%
Home win
37.6%
Draw
29.3%
Away win
33.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 | 37.6% | 2.66 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.3% | 3.42 | — | — |
| Hertha Berlin | 33.1% | 3.02 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.0% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.0% | 10.03 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.7% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.3% | 3.30 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 57.3% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.9% | 4.57 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.4% | 10.61 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.6% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
| No | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 / Draw | 66.9% | 1.49 | — | — |
| FSV Mainz 05 / Hertha Berlin | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Hertha Berlin | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.0
|
9.8
|
6.0
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
10.6
|
13.9
|
7.5
|
2.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.1
|
8.1
|
4.6
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.9
|
3.3
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
1.0
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2023
Hertha Berlin
1-1
FSV Mainz 05
Sep 2022
FSV Mainz 05
1-1
Hertha Berlin
May 2022
Hertha Berlin
1-2
FSV Mainz 05
Dec 2021
FSV Mainz 05
4-0
Hertha Berlin
May 2021
FSV Mainz 05
1-1
Hertha Berlin
Dec 2020
Hertha Berlin
0-0
FSV Mainz 05
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.