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Saturday 3 November 2018, 16:30 Allianz Arena Full time
86% 10% 4%
Home win
86.4%
Draw
9.6%
Away win
4.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayern München 86.4% 1.16
Draw 9.6% 10.41
SC Freiburg 4.0% 24.96

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.8% 1.02
Under 0.5 2.2% 44.44
Over 1.5 90.4% 1.11
Under 1.5 9.6% 10.47
Over 2.5 74.9% 1.34
Under 2.5 25.1% 3.98
Over 3.5 54.9% 1.82
Under 3.5 45.1% 2.22
Over 4.5 35.4% 2.82
Under 4.5 64.6% 1.55

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.3% 2.16
No 53.7% 1.86

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayern München / Draw 96.0% 1.04
Bayern München / SC Freiburg 90.4% 1.11
Draw / SC Freiburg 13.6% 7.34

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.3
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
6.3
4.5
1.4
0.3
0.0
0.0
2
10.6
6.9
2.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
11.6
7.5
2.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
9.4
6.1
2.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
6.2
4.0
1.3
0.3
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bayern München goals. Columns: SC Freiburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.