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Saturday 6 October 2018, 19:30 Allianz Arena Full time
82% 12% 6%
Home win
82.0%
Draw
12.0%
Away win
6.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayern München 82.0% 1.22
Draw 12.0% 8.31
Borussia Mönchengladbach 6.0% 16.70

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.4% 1.03
Under 0.5 2.6% 38.36
Over 1.5 89.4% 1.12
Under 1.5 10.6% 9.40
Over 2.5 72.7% 1.38
Under 2.5 27.3% 3.66
Over 3.5 52.1% 1.92
Under 3.5 47.9% 2.09
Over 4.5 32.7% 3.06
Under 4.5 67.3% 1.49

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.8% 1.97
No 49.2% 2.03

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayern München / Draw 94.0% 1.06
Bayern München / Borussia Mönchengladbach 88.0% 1.14
Draw / Borussia Mönchengladbach 18.0% 5.55

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.6
1.4
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
6.6
5.6
2.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
2
10.4
7.9
3.0
0.8
0.1
0.0
3
10.5
8.0
3.0
0.8
0.1
0.0
4
7.9
6.0
2.3
0.6
0.1
0.0
5
4.8
3.6
1.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Bayern München goals. Columns: Borussia Mönchengladbach goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.