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Saturday 27 October 2018, 16:30 Opel Arena Full time
13% 21% 65%
Home win
13.5%
Draw
21.2%
Away win
65.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FSV Mainz 05 13.5% 7.41
Draw 21.2% 4.71
Bayern München 65.3% 1.53

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.7% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.3% 15.98
Over 1.5 78.6% 1.27
Under 1.5 21.4% 4.67
Over 2.5 54.6% 1.83
Under 2.5 45.4% 2.20
Over 3.5 32.3% 3.10
Under 3.5 67.7% 1.48
Over 4.5 16.3% 6.14
Under 4.5 83.7% 1.19

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.3% 2.03
No 50.7% 1.97

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FSV Mainz 05 / Draw 34.7% 2.88
FSV Mainz 05 / Bayern München 78.8% 1.27
Draw / Bayern München 86.5% 1.16

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.3
11.1
11.9
8.1
4.2
1.7
1
4.1
10.1
9.8
6.7
3.4
1.4
2
1.9
3.9
4.0
2.7
1.4
0.6
3
0.5
1.1
1.1
0.7
0.4
0.2
4
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: FSV Mainz 05 goals. Columns: Bayern München goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.