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Saturday 8 December 2018, 16:30 VELTINS-Arena Full time
FC Schalke 04
1–2
HT 0–1
Borussia Dortmund
34% 26% 40%
Home win
34.0%
Draw
26.2%
Away win
39.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FC Schalke 04 34.0% 2.94 — —
Draw 26.2% 3.81 — —
Borussia Dortmund 39.7% 2.52 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.7% 1.07 — —
Under 0.5 6.3% 15.76 — —
Over 1.5 78.8% 1.27 — —
Under 1.5 21.2% 4.72 — —
Over 2.5 54.8% 1.82 — —
Under 2.5 45.2% 2.21 — —
Over 3.5 32.5% 3.08 — —
Under 3.5 67.5% 1.48 — —
Over 4.5 16.4% 6.09 — —
Under 4.5 83.6% 1.20 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 58.7% 1.70 — —
No 41.3% 2.42 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FC Schalke 04 / Draw 60.3% 1.66 — —
FC Schalke 04 / Borussia Dortmund 73.8% 1.36 — —
Draw / Borussia Dortmund 66.0% 1.52 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.3
7.8
6.4
3.2
1.2
0.4
1
7.1
12.3
8.7
4.4
1.6
0.5
2
5.3
8.0
6.0
3.0
1.1
0.3
3
2.4
3.7
2.7
1.4
0.5
0.2
4
0.8
1.3
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.1
5
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: FC Schalke 04 goals. Columns: Borussia Dortmund goals. Values are percentages.

Form

FC Schalke 04
D W L W D
Borussia Dortmund
D W W W W

Head to head

Mar 2023 FC Schalke 04 2-2 Borussia Dortmund Sep 2022 Borussia Dortmund 1-0 FC Schalke 04 Feb 2021 FC Schalke 04 0-4 Borussia Dortmund Oct 2020 Borussia Dortmund 3-0 FC Schalke 04 May 2020 Borussia Dortmund 4-0 FC Schalke 04 Oct 2019 FC Schalke 04 0-0 Borussia Dortmund

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.