Saturday 1 December 2018, 16:30
Signal Iduna Park
Full time
75%
15%
10%
Home win
75.1%
Draw
15.4%
Away win
9.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw | 15.4% | 6.51 | — | — |
| SC Freiburg | 9.5% | 10.49 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.9% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.1% | 32.52 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 88.0% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.0% | 8.34 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 29.9% | 3.34 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 48.9% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 29.7% | 3.36 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| No | 44.1% | 2.27 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund / Draw | 90.5% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Borussia Dortmund / SC Freiburg | 84.6% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Draw / SC Freiburg | 24.9% | 4.02 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.1
|
2.0
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
6.9
|
7.0
|
3.0
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
9.9
|
8.9
|
4.0
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.0
|
8.1
|
3.7
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
6.1
|
5.5
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.3
|
3.0
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Borussia Dortmund
4-0
SC Freiburg
Dec 2025
SC Freiburg
1-1
Borussia Dortmund
Apr 2025
SC Freiburg
1-4
Borussia Dortmund
Nov 2024
Borussia Dortmund
4-0
SC Freiburg
Feb 2024
Borussia Dortmund
3-0
SC Freiburg
Sep 2023
SC Freiburg
2-4
Borussia Dortmund
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.