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Sunday 25 November 2018, 16:30 Schwarzwald-Stadion Full time
36% 26% 37%
Home win
36.4%
Draw
26.4%
Away win
37.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SC Freiburg 36.4% 2.75
Draw 26.4% 3.79
Werder Bremen 37.3% 2.68

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.6% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.4% 15.62
Over 1.5 78.7% 1.27
Under 1.5 21.3% 4.69
Over 2.5 54.6% 1.83
Under 2.5 45.4% 2.20
Over 3.5 32.2% 3.10
Under 3.5 67.8% 1.48
Over 4.5 16.2% 6.15
Under 4.5 83.8% 1.19

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 58.6% 1.71
No 41.4% 2.42

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SC Freiburg / Draw 62.7% 1.59
SC Freiburg / Werder Bremen 73.6% 1.36
Draw / Werder Bremen 63.6% 1.57

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.4
7.5
5.9
2.9
1.0
0.3
1
7.4
12.4
8.4
4.1
1.5
0.4
2
5.8
8.3
6.0
2.9
1.0
0.3
3
2.7
3.9
2.8
1.4
0.5
0.1
4
1.0
1.4
1.0
0.5
0.2
0.1
5
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.0
Rows: SC Freiburg goals. Columns: Werder Bremen goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.