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Sunday 4 November 2018, 19:00 Opel Arena Full time
FSV Mainz 05
2–1
HT 1–0
Werder Bremen
36% 28% 36%
Home win
36.3%
Draw
28.1%
Away win
35.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FSV Mainz 05 36.3% 2.75 — —
Draw 28.1% 3.56 — —
Werder Bremen 35.6% 2.81 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.6% 1.09 — —
Under 0.5 8.4% 11.84 — —
Over 1.5 73.3% 1.36 — —
Under 1.5 26.7% 3.75 — —
Over 2.5 47.3% 2.11 — —
Under 2.5 52.7% 1.90 — —
Over 3.5 25.6% 3.90 — —
Under 3.5 74.4% 1.34 — —
Over 4.5 11.8% 8.49 — —
Under 4.5 88.2% 1.13 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.0% 1.89 — —
No 47.0% 2.13 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FSV Mainz 05 / Draw 64.4% 1.55 — —
FSV Mainz 05 / Werder Bremen 71.9% 1.39 — —
Draw / Werder Bremen 63.7% 1.57 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.4
9.0
6.3
2.7
0.8
0.2
1
9.2
13.4
8.1
3.4
1.1
0.3
2
6.4
8.2
5.2
2.2
0.7
0.2
3
2.8
3.5
2.2
1.0
0.3
0.1
4
0.9
1.1
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: FSV Mainz 05 goals. Columns: Werder Bremen goals. Values are percentages.

Form

FSV Mainz 05
D L D L L
Werder Bremen
W L W W L

Head to head

Mar 2026 Werder Bremen 0-2 FSV Mainz 05 Nov 2025 FSV Mainz 05 1-1 Werder Bremen Jan 2025 Werder Bremen 1-0 FSV Mainz 05 Sep 2024 FSV Mainz 05 1-2 Werder Bremen Feb 2024 FSV Mainz 05 0-1 Werder Bremen Sep 2023 Werder Bremen 4-0 FSV Mainz 05

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.