Sunday 28 October 2018, 19:00
Weser-Stadion
Full time
49%
25%
27%
Home win
48.6%
Draw
24.7%
Away win
26.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.7% | 4.05 | — | — |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 26.7% | 3.75 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.5% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.5% | 18.02 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.0% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.0% | 5.26 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 42.0% | 2.38 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.6% | 2.81 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.7% | 5.33 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| No | 40.1% | 2.49 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen / Draw | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Werder Bremen / Bayer Leverkusen | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Bayer Leverkusen | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.5
|
5.5
|
3.9
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
8.0
|
11.5
|
6.8
|
2.8
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.6
|
9.5
|
6.0
|
2.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
4.5
|
5.6
|
3.5
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.0
|
2.5
|
1.5
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.7
|
0.9
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Bayer Leverkusen
1-0
Werder Bremen
Aug 2025
Werder Bremen
3-3
Bayer Leverkusen
Mar 2025
Bayer Leverkusen
0-2
Werder Bremen
Oct 2024
Werder Bremen
2-2
Bayer Leverkusen
Apr 2024
Bayer Leverkusen
5-0
Werder Bremen
Nov 2023
Werder Bremen
0-3
Bayer Leverkusen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.