Saturday 24 November 2018, 16:30
Opel Arena
Full time
24%
24%
52%
Home win
24.1%
Draw
24.4%
Away win
51.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 | 24.1% | 4.15 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.4% | 4.10 | — | — |
| Borussia Dortmund | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.3% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.7% | 17.54 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.5% | 5.13 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 57.3% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 34.9% | 2.86 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.2% | 5.49 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.8% | 1.22 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| No | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 / Draw | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
| FSV Mainz 05 / Borussia Dortmund | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Borussia Dortmund | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.7
|
8.5
|
8.3
|
5.0
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
| 1 |
5.3
|
11.4
|
9.7
|
5.9
|
2.6
|
1.0
|
| 2 |
3.5
|
6.3
|
5.7
|
3.4
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
| 3 |
1.4
|
2.5
|
2.2
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.7
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Borussia Dortmund
4-0
FSV Mainz 05
Sep 2025
FSV Mainz 05
0-2
Borussia Dortmund
Mar 2025
Borussia Dortmund
3-1
FSV Mainz 05
Nov 2024
FSV Mainz 05
3-1
Borussia Dortmund
May 2024
FSV Mainz 05
3-0
Borussia Dortmund
Dec 2023
Borussia Dortmund
1-1
FSV Mainz 05
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.