Friday 30 November 2018, 21:30
Merkur Spielarena
Full time
36%
27%
37%
Home win
35.7%
Draw
26.9%
Away win
37.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | 35.7% | 2.80 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.9% | 3.72 | — | — |
| FSV Mainz 05 | 37.4% | 2.67 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.0% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.0% | 14.27 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.0% | 4.36 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 47.7% | 2.09 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 30.1% | 3.33 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.7% | 6.79 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.3% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| No | 43.1% | 2.32 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf / Draw | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf / FSV Mainz 05 | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / FSV Mainz 05 | 64.3% | 1.55 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.0
|
8.1
|
6.2
|
2.9
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
7.9
|
12.7
|
8.4
|
3.9
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
5.8
|
8.2
|
5.8
|
2.7
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
2.7
|
3.7
|
2.6
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
1.3
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2020
FSV Mainz 05
1-1
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Oct 2019
Fortuna Dusseldorf
1-0
FSV Mainz 05
Apr 2019
FSV Mainz 05
3-1
Fortuna Dusseldorf
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.