Sunday 4 November 2018, 16:30
Borussia-Park
Full time
79%
14%
7%
Home win
78.8%
Draw
14.0%
Away win
7.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 78.8% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw | 14.0% | 7.16 | — | — |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | 7.2% | 13.87 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.7% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.3% | 30.09 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 13.0% | 7.70 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 31.7% | 3.16 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 46.8% | 2.14 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 27.9% | 3.59 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| No | 49.9% | 2.00 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Mönchengladbach / Draw | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach / Fortuna Dusseldorf | 86.0% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Draw / Fortuna Dusseldorf | 21.2% | 4.72 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.3
|
1.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
7.8
|
6.6
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.3
|
8.5
|
3.2
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.4
|
7.9
|
3.0
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.2
|
5.4
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.0
|
3.0
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2020
Fortuna Dusseldorf
1-4
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Sep 2019
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2-1
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Mar 2019
Fortuna Dusseldorf
3-1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.