Saturday 24 November 2018, 16:30
Allianz Arena
Full time
93%
5%
2%
Home win
93.0%
Draw
5.2%
Away win
1.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München | 93.0% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Draw | 5.2% | 19.28 | — | — |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | 1.8% | 54.82 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 99.0% | 1.01 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 1.0% | 97.66 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 95.0% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 5.0% | 20.14 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 85.0% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 15.0% | 6.65 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 30.7% | 3.26 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
| No | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München / Draw | 98.2% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Bayern München / Fortuna Dusseldorf | 94.8% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Draw / Fortuna Dusseldorf | 7.0% | 14.26 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
3.5
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
7.6
|
4.6
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.4
|
6.3
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
10.7
|
6.5
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
8.8
|
5.3
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2020
Bayern München
5-0
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Nov 2019
Fortuna Dusseldorf
0-4
Bayern München
Apr 2019
Fortuna Dusseldorf
1-4
Bayern München
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.