Saturday 10 November 2018, 16:30
Merkur Spielarena
Full time
18%
25%
57%
Home win
18.1%
Draw
24.8%
Away win
57.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | 18.1% | 5.52 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.8% | 4.03 | — | — |
| Hertha Berlin | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.0% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.0% | 12.57 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.7% | 3.89 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.8% | 3.73 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.5% | 7.98 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.5% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.9% | 2.04 | — | — |
| No | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf / Draw | 43.0% | 2.33 | — | — |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf / Hertha Berlin | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Hertha Berlin | 81.9% | 1.22 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.0
|
12.0
|
11.0
|
6.4
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
| 1 |
5.7
|
11.8
|
9.7
|
5.6
|
2.4
|
0.9
|
| 2 |
2.8
|
4.9
|
4.3
|
2.5
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
0.8
|
1.4
|
1.3
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2020
Fortuna Dusseldorf
3-3
Hertha Berlin
Oct 2019
Hertha Berlin
3-1
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Apr 2019
Hertha Berlin
1-2
Fortuna Dusseldorf
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.