Friday 7 December 2018, 21:30
Weser-Stadion
Full time
66%
19%
14%
Home win
66.2%
Draw
19.3%
Away win
14.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.3% | 5.17 | — | — |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | 14.4% | 6.92 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.9% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.1% | 24.55 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.0% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.0% | 6.68 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 35.3% | 2.83 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 57.3% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 24.3% | 4.11 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| No | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen / Draw | 85.6% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Werder Bremen / Fortuna Dusseldorf | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Draw / Fortuna Dusseldorf | 33.8% | 2.96 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.1
|
3.1
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
7.8
|
8.9
|
4.2
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.6
|
9.7
|
4.9
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.5
|
7.5
|
3.8
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
4.3
|
4.4
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.0
|
2.0
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2020
Fortuna Dusseldorf
0-1
Werder Bremen
Aug 2019
Werder Bremen
1-3
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Apr 2019
Fortuna Dusseldorf
4-1
Werder Bremen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.