Saturday 15 December 2018, 19:30
Signal Iduna Park
Full time
68%
18%
14%
Home win
68.1%
Draw
17.8%
Away win
14.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Draw | 17.8% | 5.62 | — | — |
| Werder Bremen | 14.1% | 7.09 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.0% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.0% | 33.47 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 88.5% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 11.5% | 8.71 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 29.1% | 3.44 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 49.9% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 30.7% | 3.26 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| No | 37.6% | 2.66 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund / Draw | 85.9% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Borussia Dortmund / Werder Bremen | 82.2% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Draw / Werder Bremen | 31.9% | 3.13 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.0
|
2.4
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
6.1
|
7.7
|
4.0
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.3
|
9.3
|
5.2
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.1
|
7.9
|
4.4
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
4.5
|
5.0
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
2.3
|
2.6
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Werder Bremen
0-2
Borussia Dortmund
Jan 2026
Borussia Dortmund
3-0
Werder Bremen
Jan 2025
Borussia Dortmund
2-2
Werder Bremen
Aug 2024
Werder Bremen
0-0
Borussia Dortmund
Mar 2024
Werder Bremen
1-2
Borussia Dortmund
Oct 2023
Borussia Dortmund
1-0
Werder Bremen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.