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Saturday 24 November 2018, 17:00 Goodison Park Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
64% 21% 15%
Home win
63.9%
Draw
21.4%
Away win
14.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Everton 63.9% 1.56
Draw 21.4% 4.67
Cardiff 14.6% 6.83

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.1% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.9% 17.00
Over 1.5 79.7% 1.25
Under 1.5 20.3% 4.92
Over 2.5 56.2% 1.78
Under 2.5 43.8% 2.29
Over 3.5 33.9% 2.95
Under 3.5 66.1% 1.51
Over 4.5 17.4% 5.74
Under 4.5 82.6% 1.21

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.7% 1.93
No 48.3% 2.07

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Everton / Draw 85.4% 1.17
Everton / Cardiff 78.6% 1.27
Draw / Cardiff 36.1% 2.77

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.9
4.1
2.1
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
10.3
10.2
4.2
1.2
0.3
0.0
2
11.2
9.9
4.4
1.3
0.3
0.1
3
7.7
6.8
3.0
0.9
0.2
0.0
4
3.9
3.5
1.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
1.6
1.4
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Everton goals. Columns: Cardiff goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.