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Saturday 3 November 2018, 17:00 Cardiff City Stadium Full time
0–1
HT 0–0
30% 25% 45%
Home win
30.5%
Draw
24.8%
Away win
44.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Cardiff 30.5% 3.28
Draw 24.8% 4.04
Leicester 44.8% 2.23

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.9% 1.05
Under 0.5 5.1% 19.58
Over 1.5 82.3% 1.22
Under 1.5 17.7% 5.65
Over 2.5 60.1% 1.66
Under 2.5 39.9% 2.50
Over 3.5 37.7% 2.65
Under 3.5 62.3% 1.61
Over 4.5 20.3% 4.92
Under 4.5 79.7% 1.26

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 62.3% 1.61
No 37.7% 2.65

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Cardiff / Draw 55.2% 1.81
Cardiff / Leicester 75.2% 1.33
Draw / Leicester 69.5% 1.44

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.1
7.0
6.6
3.8
1.6
0.6
1
5.6
11.3
9.2
5.3
2.3
0.8
2
4.3
7.4
6.4
3.7
1.6
0.5
3
2.0
3.4
2.9
1.7
0.7
0.3
4
0.7
1.2
1.0
0.6
0.3
0.1
5
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Cardiff goals. Columns: Leicester goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.