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Saturday 10 November 2018, 14:30 Cardiff City Stadium Full time
2–1
HT 1–1
33% 30% 37%
Home win
32.9%
Draw
30.3%
Away win
36.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Cardiff 32.9% 3.04
Draw 30.3% 3.31
Brighton 36.8% 2.72

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.7% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.3% 8.89
Over 1.5 66.7% 1.50
Under 1.5 33.3% 3.01
Over 2.5 39.3% 2.55
Under 2.5 60.7% 1.65
Over 3.5 19.2% 5.20
Under 3.5 80.8% 1.24
Over 4.5 7.9% 12.67
Under 4.5 92.1% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.5% 2.15
No 53.5% 1.87

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Cardiff / Draw 63.2% 1.58
Cardiff / Brighton 69.8% 1.43
Draw / Brighton 67.1% 1.49

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.3
11.4
7.1
2.8
0.8
0.2
1
10.6
14.1
7.8
3.0
0.9
0.2
2
6.2
7.3
4.2
1.7
0.5
0.1
3
2.3
2.6
1.5
0.6
0.2
0.0
4
0.6
0.7
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Cardiff goals. Columns: Brighton goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.