Sunday 11 November 2018, 16:15
Stamford Bridge
Full time
67%
20%
13%
Home win
67.4%
Draw
19.7%
Away win
12.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.7% | 5.08 | — | — |
| Everton | 12.9% | 7.74 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.9% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.1% | 19.77 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.0% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.0% | 5.55 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 40.2% | 2.49 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 37.4% | 2.67 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.1% | 4.98 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
| No | 47.5% | 2.11 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea / Draw | 87.1% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Chelsea / Everton | 80.3% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Draw / Everton | 32.6% | 3.07 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.1
|
3.4
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.5
|
9.3
|
3.9
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.2
|
9.8
|
4.3
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.3
|
7.2
|
3.2
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.6
|
4.0
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.0
|
1.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Everton
3-0
Chelsea
Dec 2025
Chelsea
2-0
Everton
Apr 2025
Chelsea
1-0
Everton
Dec 2024
Everton
0-0
Chelsea
Apr 2024
Chelsea
6-0
Everton
Dec 2023
Everton
2-0
Chelsea
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.