Sunday 4 November 2018, 18:00
Stamford Bridge
Full time
72%
18%
10%
Home win
72.0%
Draw
18.1%
Away win
9.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.1% | 5.52 | — | — |
| Crystal Palace | 9.9% | 10.14 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.7% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.3% | 18.95 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.9% | 5.31 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 41.4% | 2.41 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 36.2% | 2.77 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.1% | 5.23 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.9% | 1.24 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.5% | 2.10 | — | — |
| No | 52.5% | 1.91 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea / Draw | 90.1% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Chelsea / Crystal Palace | 81.9% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Draw / Crystal Palace | 28.0% | 3.58 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.3
|
3.1
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.5
|
8.6
|
3.0
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.7
|
9.4
|
3.5
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.7
|
7.2
|
2.7
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.6
|
4.1
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.6
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Crystal Palace
1-3
Chelsea
Aug 2025
Chelsea
0-0
Crystal Palace
Jan 2025
Crystal Palace
1-1
Chelsea
Sep 2024
Chelsea
1-1
Crystal Palace
Feb 2024
Crystal Palace
1-3
Chelsea
Dec 2023
Chelsea
2-1
Crystal Palace
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.