Saturday 20 October 2018, 21:45
Camp Nou
Full time
76%
14%
10%
Home win
75.7%
Draw
14.5%
Away win
9.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw | 14.5% | 6.90 | — | — |
| Sevilla | 9.8% | 10.18 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.7% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.3% | 43.29 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 90.7% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 9.3% | 10.72 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 24.8% | 4.03 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 35.8% | 2.80 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| No | 39.3% | 2.55 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona / Draw | 90.2% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Barcelona / Sevilla | 85.5% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Draw / Sevilla | 24.3% | 4.11 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.3
|
1.6
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
5.4
|
6.2
|
3.0
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.3
|
8.5
|
4.3
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
8.1
|
8.2
|
4.2
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
5.9
|
6.0
|
3.1
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
3.4
|
3.5
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Barcelona
5-2
Sevilla
Oct 2025
Sevilla
4-1
Barcelona
Feb 2025
Sevilla
1-4
Barcelona
Oct 2024
Barcelona
5-1
Sevilla
May 2024
Sevilla
1-2
Barcelona
Sep 2023
Barcelona
1-0
Sevilla
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.