Sunday 7 October 2018, 19:30
Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán
Full time
54%
22%
24%
Home win
54.4%
Draw
21.8%
Away win
23.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.8% | 4.59 | — | — |
| Celta Vigo | 23.9% | 4.19 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.5% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.5% | 28.56 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.1% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.9% | 7.75 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 31.8% | 3.14 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 53.3% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 27.7% | 3.61 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
| No | 33.5% | 2.98 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla / Draw | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Sevilla / Celta Vigo | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / Celta Vigo | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.5
|
3.6
|
2.8
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
5.8
|
9.3
|
6.0
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.8
|
9.4
|
6.4
|
3.0
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
4.8
|
6.7
|
4.6
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
2.6
|
3.6
|
2.5
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
1.1
|
1.5
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Celta Vigo
1-0
Sevilla
Jan 2026
Sevilla
0-1
Celta Vigo
May 2025
Celta Vigo
3-2
Sevilla
Dec 2024
Sevilla
1-0
Celta Vigo
Mar 2024
Sevilla
1-2
Celta Vigo
Nov 2023
Celta Vigo
1-1
Sevilla
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.