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Monday 1 October 2018, 22:00 Municipal de Balaídos Full time
1–1
HT 1–0
34% 30% 37%
Home win
33.7%
Draw
29.8%
Away win
36.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Celta Vigo 33.7% 2.97
Draw 29.8% 3.36
Getafe 36.6% 2.74

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.4% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.6% 9.42
Over 1.5 68.2% 1.47
Under 1.5 31.8% 3.14
Over 2.5 40.9% 2.44
Under 2.5 59.1% 1.69
Over 3.5 20.5% 4.88
Under 3.5 79.5% 1.26
Over 4.5 8.6% 11.61
Under 4.5 91.4% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.9% 2.09
No 52.1% 1.92

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Celta Vigo / Draw 63.4% 1.58
Celta Vigo / Getafe 70.2% 1.42
Draw / Getafe 66.3% 1.51

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.6
10.9
7.0
2.8
0.8
0.2
1
10.3
14.0
7.9
3.1
0.9
0.2
2
6.3
7.5
4.4
1.8
0.5
0.1
3
2.4
2.8
1.7
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
0.7
0.8
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Celta Vigo goals. Columns: Getafe goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.