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Saturday 3 November 2018, 17:00 London Stadium Full time
4–2
HT 1–1
45% 28% 26%
Home win
45.4%
Draw
28.1%
Away win
26.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Ham 45.4% 2.20
Draw 28.1% 3.56
Burnley 26.4% 3.78

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.7% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.3% 10.73
Over 1.5 71.1% 1.41
Under 1.5 28.9% 3.46
Over 2.5 44.5% 2.25
Under 2.5 55.5% 1.80
Over 3.5 23.3% 4.29
Under 3.5 76.7% 1.30
Over 4.5 10.3% 9.69
Under 4.5 89.7% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.6% 2.02
No 50.4% 1.98

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Ham / Draw 73.6% 1.36
West Ham / Burnley 71.9% 1.39
Draw / Burnley 54.6% 1.83

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.3
8.1
4.5
1.6
0.4
0.1
1
11.5
13.3
6.5
2.2
0.6
0.1
2
8.7
9.0
4.6
1.6
0.4
0.1
3
4.2
4.3
2.2
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
1.5
1.5
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: West Ham goals. Columns: Burnley goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.