Saturday 6 October 2018, 17:00
Turf Moor
Full time
54%
30%
16%
Home win
54.4%
Draw
29.8%
Away win
15.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.8% | 3.36 | — | — |
| Huddersfield | 15.9% | 6.31 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85.0% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 15.0% | 6.66 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 41.4% | 2.41 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 30.8% | 3.25 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 69.2% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 13.3% | 7.52 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 86.7% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.8% | 20.95 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.2% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 34.0% | 2.94 | — | — |
| No | 66.0% | 1.51 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley / Draw | 84.1% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Burnley / Huddersfield | 70.2% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Draw / Huddersfield | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
15.0
|
7.9
|
2.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
18.6
|
12.2
|
3.4
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.0
|
7.8
|
2.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
5.8
|
3.5
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.0
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2019
Huddersfield
1-2
Burnley
Dec 2017
Huddersfield
0-0
Burnley
Sep 2017
Burnley
0-0
Huddersfield
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.