Saturday 27 October 2018, 21:00
Stadium de Toulouse
Full time
35%
33%
32%
Home win
34.6%
Draw
33.0%
Away win
32.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | 34.6% | 2.89 | — | — |
| Draw | 33.0% | 3.03 | — | — |
| Montpellier | 32.4% | 3.09 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 84.8% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 15.2% | 6.59 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 41.4% | 2.41 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 30.7% | 3.25 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 13.2% | 7.56 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 86.8% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.7% | 21.07 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.3% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.4% | 2.54 | — | — |
| No | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse / Draw | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Toulouse / Montpellier | 67.0% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Draw / Montpellier | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
15.2
|
12.8
|
6.5
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
13.4
|
14.3
|
6.4
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.1
|
6.7
|
3.2
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
2.3
|
2.2
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2025
Toulouse
1-2
Montpellier
Oct 2024
Montpellier
0-3
Toulouse
May 2024
Toulouse
1-2
Montpellier
Oct 2023
Montpellier
3-0
Toulouse
Apr 2023
Montpellier
1-2
Toulouse
Oct 2022
Toulouse
4-2
Montpellier
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.