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Sunday 21 October 2018, 16:00 Stade de la Mosson Full time
38% 31% 32%
Home win
37.8%
Draw
30.7%
Away win
31.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Montpellier 37.8% 2.65
Draw 30.7% 3.26
Bordeaux 31.6% 3.17

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.1% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.9% 8.42
Over 1.5 65.4% 1.53
Under 1.5 34.6% 2.89
Over 2.5 37.7% 2.65
Under 2.5 62.3% 1.61
Over 3.5 18.1% 5.53
Under 3.5 81.9% 1.22
Over 4.5 7.3% 13.79
Under 4.5 92.7% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.2% 2.21
No 54.8% 1.82

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Montpellier / Draw 68.5% 1.46
Montpellier / Bordeaux 69.3% 1.44
Draw / Bordeaux 62.2% 1.61

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.9
10.7
6.0
2.1
0.5
0.1
1
12.1
14.2
6.9
2.4
0.6
0.1
2
7.5
7.8
4.0
1.4
0.4
0.1
3
2.9
3.0
1.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
0.8
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Montpellier goals. Columns: Bordeaux goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.