Sunday 4 November 2018, 16:00
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
41%
26%
33%
Home win
40.5%
Draw
26.3%
Away win
33.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria | 40.5% | 2.47 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.3% | 3.81 | — | — |
| Torino | 33.2% | 3.01 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.6% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.4% | 15.61 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.3% | 4.68 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 45.4% | 2.20 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 32.2% | 3.10 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 67.8% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.2% | 6.16 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.8% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| No | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria / Draw | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Sampdoria / Torino | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Torino | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.4
|
7.0
|
5.2
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
7.9
|
12.4
|
7.9
|
3.5
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.5
|
8.8
|
6.0
|
2.7
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
3.3
|
4.5
|
3.0
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
1.7
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2023
Sampdoria
0-2
Torino
Nov 2022
Torino
2-0
Sampdoria
Jan 2022
Sampdoria
1-2
Torino
Oct 2021
Torino
3-0
Sampdoria
Mar 2021
Sampdoria
1-0
Torino
Nov 2020
Torino
2-2
Sampdoria
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.