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Sunday 21 October 2018, 18:00 Stade Geoffroy-Guichard Full time
41% 31% 29%
Home win
40.6%
Draw
30.7%
Away win
28.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Saint Etienne 40.6% 2.46
Draw 30.7% 3.26
Rennes 28.7% 3.49

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.8% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.2% 8.20
Over 1.5 64.6% 1.55
Under 1.5 35.4% 2.83
Over 2.5 37.0% 2.71
Under 2.5 63.0% 1.59
Over 3.5 17.5% 5.71
Under 3.5 82.5% 1.21
Over 4.5 6.9% 14.41
Under 4.5 93.1% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.2% 2.26
No 55.8% 1.79

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Saint Etienne / Draw 71.3% 1.40
Saint Etienne / Rennes 69.3% 1.44
Draw / Rennes 59.4% 1.68

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.2
10.2
5.3
1.7
0.4
0.1
1
12.9
14.1
6.4
2.1
0.5
0.1
2
8.3
8.0
3.9
1.2
0.3
0.1
3
3.3
3.2
1.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
1.0
1.0
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Saint Etienne goals. Columns: Rennes goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.