Sunday 7 October 2018, 19:00
Red Bull Arena
Full time
64%
20%
16%
Home win
64.2%
Draw
19.9%
Away win
15.9%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.9% | 5.02 | — | — |
| FC Nurnberg | 15.9% | 6.29 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.0% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.0% | 24.94 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.3% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 14.7% | 6.80 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 34.9% | 2.87 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 43.1% | 2.32 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 24.7% | 4.05 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| No | 40.5% | 2.47 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig / Draw | 84.1% | 1.19 | — | — |
| RB Leipzig / FC Nurnberg | 80.1% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Draw / FC Nurnberg | 35.8% | 2.79 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.0
|
3.2
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
7.5
|
9.0
|
4.6
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.1
|
9.8
|
5.2
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.0
|
7.4
|
4.0
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
4.0
|
4.2
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.8
|
1.9
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.