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Saturday 29 September 2018, 16:30 WIRSOL Rhein-Neckar-Arena Full time
57% 21% 23%
Home win
56.6%
Draw
20.8%
Away win
22.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1899 Hoffenheim 56.6% 1.77
Draw 20.8% 4.80
RB Leipzig 22.6% 4.43

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.0% 1.03
Under 0.5 3.0% 33.05
Over 1.5 88.6% 1.13
Under 1.5 11.4% 8.78
Over 2.5 71.0% 1.41
Under 2.5 29.0% 3.45
Over 3.5 50.0% 2.00
Under 3.5 50.0% 2.00
Over 4.5 30.8% 3.25
Under 4.5 69.2% 1.44

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 68.1% 1.47
No 31.9% 3.13

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1899 Hoffenheim / Draw 77.4% 1.29
1899 Hoffenheim / RB Leipzig 79.2% 1.26
Draw / RB Leipzig 43.4% 2.31

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.0
3.1
2.5
1.2
0.4
0.1
1
5.3
8.6
5.7
2.6
0.9
0.3
2
6.6
9.2
6.4
3.0
1.1
0.3
3
5.0
7.0
4.9
2.3
0.8
0.2
4
2.8
4.0
2.8
1.3
0.5
0.1
5
1.3
1.8
1.3
0.6
0.2
0.1
Rows: 1899 Hoffenheim goals. Columns: RB Leipzig goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.