Friday 19 October 2018, 21:45
Groupama Stadium
Full time
68%
17%
15%
Home win
67.6%
Draw
17.4%
Away win
15.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Draw | 17.4% | 5.74 | — | — |
| Nimes | 15.0% | 6.68 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.5% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.5% | 40.75 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 90.4% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 9.6% | 10.39 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 25.5% | 3.92 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 34.9% | 2.87 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
| No | 33.9% | 2.95 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon / Draw | 85.0% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Lyon / Nimes | 82.6% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Draw / Nimes | 32.4% | 3.09 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.5
|
2.1
|
1.5
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
5.1
|
7.1
|
4.1
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.3
|
8.9
|
5.4
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
6.5
|
7.9
|
4.8
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
4.3
|
5.3
|
3.2
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
2.3
|
2.8
|
1.7
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.