Saturday 10 November 2018, 17:00
King Power Stadium, Leicester
Full time
52%
25%
22%
Home win
52.5%
Draw
25.3%
Away win
22.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester | 52.5% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.3% | 3.95 | — | — |
| Burnley | 22.2% | 4.50 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.9% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.1% | 14.01 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.5% | 4.26 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.4% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.5% | 3.39 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.3% | 6.98 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.7% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| No | 46.6% | 2.15 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester / Draw | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Leicester / Burnley | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Burnley | 47.5% | 2.10 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.1
|
6.0
|
3.4
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.3
|
12.1
|
5.9
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.4
|
9.7
|
5.0
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.3
|
5.5
|
2.9
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.3
|
2.4
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2022
Burnley
0-2
Leicester
Sep 2021
Leicester
2-2
Burnley
Mar 2021
Burnley
1-1
Leicester
Sep 2020
Leicester
4-2
Burnley
Jan 2020
Burnley
2-1
Leicester
Oct 2019
Leicester
2-1
Burnley
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.