Saturday 20 October 2018, 16:30
Max-Morlock-Stadion
Full time
20%
22%
58%
Home win
20.5%
Draw
21.8%
Away win
57.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Nurnberg | 20.5% | 4.88 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.8% | 4.59 | — | — |
| 1899 Hoffenheim | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.8% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.2% | 23.66 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.8% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.2% | 6.56 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 35.8% | 2.79 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 42.1% | 2.38 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 23.8% | 4.20 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | — |
| No | 38.1% | 2.62 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Nurnberg / Draw | 42.3% | 2.36 | — | — |
| FC Nurnberg / 1899 Hoffenheim | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / 1899 Hoffenheim | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.2
|
7.2
|
8.2
|
5.7
|
3.0
|
1.3
|
| 1 |
3.8
|
9.8
|
9.8
|
6.9
|
3.6
|
1.5
|
| 2 |
2.6
|
5.5
|
5.8
|
4.1
|
2.2
|
0.9
|
| 3 |
1.0
|
2.2
|
2.3
|
1.6
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.7
|
0.7
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.